Evaluation of current scenarios

This chapter, starts with a general comparison of the three scenarios, namely, HBF, FH and UBA, in respect of the common as well as the individual targets that have been set for 2050. A more detailed analysis and a comparison with the reference scenario follows, illustrating their performance for different renewable energy productions. The chapter is rounded out by investigating the function of each energy system in further details and especially on how each of their components contribute in the overall performance of each scenario.

Primary energy supply Primary energy supply by energy source (TWh/yr) of the three 2050 and Reference scenarios, showing the targets for 2050.	Total CO2 emissions (Mt) Total CO2 emissions (Mt) of Reference and 2050 scenarios, showing also the target for 2050.	Total annual costs Total annual costs comparison between Reference and 2050 scenarios
Total annual costs (excl F.O. costs) Total annual costs by scenario with ‘Net fuel costs’.	El balancing of HBF scenario Electricity demand and production during three days of January 2050 according to HBF.	El balancing of FH scenario Electricity demand and production during three days of January 2050 according to FH
El balancing of UBA scenario Electricity demand and production during three days of January 2050 according to UBA	District heating production District heating production of all three scenarios during three days of January 2050 .	Fuel consumption Fuel consumption for varying wind production until the actual produced wind energy of each scenario
CEEP Critical excess electricity production for ascending onshore wind energy until the actual produced wind energy of each scenario	CO2 emissions CO2 emissions for costs for ascending wind production until the actual produced wind energy of each scenario	Total annual costs Total annual costs for ascending wind production until the actual produced wind energy of each scenario

Primary energy supply

Primary energy supply by energy source (TWh/yr) of the three 2050 and Reference scenarios, showing the targets for 2050.

Total CO2 emissions (Mt)

Total CO2 emissions (Mt) of Reference and 2050 scenarios, showing also the target for 2050.

Total annual costs

Total annual costs comparison between Reference and 2050 scenarios

Total annual costs (excl F.O. costs)

Total annual costs by scenario with ‘Net fuel costs’.

El balancing of HBF scenario

Electricity demand and production during three days of January 2050 according to HBF.

El balancing of FH scenario

Electricity demand and production during three days of January 2050 according to FH

El balancing of UBA scenario

Electricity demand and production during three days of January 2050 according to UBA

District heating production

District heating production of all three scenarios during three days of January 2050 .

Fuel consumption

Fuel consumption for varying wind production until the actual produced wind energy of each scenario

CEEP

Critical excess electricity production for ascending onshore wind energy until the actual produced wind energy of each scenario

CO2 emissions

CO2 emissions for costs for ascending wind production until the actual produced wind energy of each scenario

Total annual costs

Total annual costs for ascending wind production until the actual produced wind energy of each scenario